Taking into account the starting grid and the history of the Monaco F1 GP, it is known that the probability of most of the classification being (more or less) defined is high, but there is one thing that could change everything: the Safety Car.
Anyone who has watched the Monaco Grand Prix knows that overtaking is extremely difficult on the tight city circuit, drivers often mention that much of the work is done on Saturday, with grid position playing a very significant role in the outcome at the end of race week – but nothing is guaranteed, even in Monaco.
F1 Monaco GP: The Threat of the Safety Car.
While drivers need to stay clean behind the wheel, there is also a lot of pressure on pit crews and strategists when it comes to choosing the right time to make a pit stop.
The race is normally a one-stop strategy because track position is very important, and it is easier to time the pit stop when the green flag is running, but if a Safety Car is required due to an incident, then the order it can be changed if a driver manages to enter the pits before a rival, or if he has not yet made a stop and can then gain time when the race speed is reduced.
If the pit stop phase has begun and a yellow flag is issued, the direction of the race can change completely in the blink of an eye.
And the probability of this happening in Monaco is very high. What remains to be seen is when, and who will ‘plot’ or ‘help’. And this is uncontrollable. The pinnacle of this situation is Abu Dhabi 2021. Everything was heading in one direction, and suddenly…